Aurino-ino wrote
" . . .it's much more likely for mediocre people to be hailed as geniuses than the other way around. The answer to your "how do you recognize them" question is almost always 'follow the crowd.'"


medicre persons must greatly outnumber geniuses
by most definitions of those two terms.

with the same error rate in both cases, there must be more mis-estimates of mediocre persons than of geniuses.

The crowd, of course, can be led to their beliefs by demagogues ("appeal to emotion instead of reason")

Another interesting angle
In a communist country such as China, there are no geniuses who do not have black hair and a good tan (and almost all will be of the male gender)! If they bring their system here, you can again "follow the crowd!"

a wise observation, Aurino-ino!